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Chosen Group is AQAP (Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula).
For this assignment, you will write an intelligence report based on a provided intelligence question. It is up to you, in your submission, to structure and articulate your analysis of the intelligence question. You must gather at least three open sources and evidence to support your analysis.
What Counterterrorism methods have been used with your group? What is your assessment of their efficacy?
Your BLUF must include your analytic judgement about counterterrorism and AQAP (Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula) . Take a position and support your thesis with evidence. You should NOT suggest or advocate for new CT strategy, only evaluate past and current. Advocating for a policy is political, while intelligence should remain neutral. You MAY anticipate a likely outcome of a proposed strategy. For example:
1. Future US drone strikes in Afghanistan may well increase IS recruitment. (yes, support with evidence)
vs.
The US should not use drones in Afghanistan (no!!!!)
2. Host nation collaborations have been effective. (yes, support with evidence)
vs.
The US should partner with the foreign government. (no!!!)
Do NOT tell your customer what to do. Give them information so that they can make the decision.
Create a title that captures your BLUF.
Grading
Quickly and clearly communicating answers to intelligence questions in one page (single spaced) or less of substance. Format:
1. Title – should capture the BLUF
2. BLUF
3. Evidence *in text citations
4. Conclusion
5. Bibliography (may go on to second page)
One page or less, single spaced
A few general pointers for your report:
Make sure that you begin your paper with a Title and BLUF (bottom line up front). In a sentence or two, simply answer the question and tell why it’s important. It is often better to do your research and find your citations before you compose a BLUF.
The body of the paper should provide evidence that supports the BLUF, nothing else. Cite with zotero.
Simplify your grammar and structure. Intelligence writing has a simple, clear style. We often share assessments with foreign intelligence or non-native speakers. Avoid run-on sentences, passive voice, and mixing tense in your writing. For events that occurred in the past, use simple past tense. Conditional present continuous (ex. “ISIS would be gathering support for the next 4 years”) is confusing. Even if your grammar is technically correct, please make event sequence as clear as possible.
Your conclusion should be a logical extension of the evidence you provided. Do not introduce totally new concepts in the conclusion. Keep the logic tight. Tell me why the evidence you provided is significant, interesting, of concern, or predictive in some way. This is your evaluation of the evidence or data. What do you as an analyst add to the reporting? It does not have to be earth-shattering. Maybe your judgement is:
CT has been effective.
CT has not been effective.
The results of CT have been mixed.
Certain CT methods have worked well, others have not.
A combination of CT methods has worked well.
While CT has worked in the short-term, long-term threats remain.
CT partnerships have complications.
Anything unusual or controversial about CT used with your group.
Host nation response to US CT has been positive.
Host nation response to US CT has been negative.
Others